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msawox

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初创商业构想全面评估

针对初创商业构想的严谨实证评估：从真实付费意愿、竞争护城河到监管合规与创始人资源，100% 本地隐私保护。

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Schema: msawox-pmfsuite/1.0.0

Idea:

Stage:

Saved Ideas:

Idea Verdict

STOP: Stop — critical blockers require restructuring before proceeding

0 / 100

Veto Gates Triggered (1)

G7 — No stopping pointCap 59

Without an unambiguous, pre-set stopping number, founders routinely waste years pursuing zombie ideas under escalating sunk-cost traps.

How to lift: Explicitly document the exact calendar date and traction metric threshold that will cause you to shut down.

The problem0%

Problem & Demand

Answered: 0/9

The market0%

Market & Reachability

Answered: 0/6

Alternatives0%

Competition & Alternatives

Answered: 0/6

Making money0%

Business Model & Unit Economics

Answered: 0/4

Why they can't copy you0%

Defensibility

Answered: 0/9

Reaching customers0%

Go-to-Market & Distribution

Answered: 0/4

Rules & regulations0%

Regulatory & Legal Feasibility

Answered: 0/5

Can you build it0%

Technical Buildability

Answered: 0/5

You & your circumstances0%

Founder & Circumstances

Answered: 0/7

How you'll work0%

Execution Discipline & Risk

Answered: 0/5

Prioritized Action Plan (Do This Week)

Priority 1: Get one person to pay a deposit or pre-order before building anything else.one afternoon · this week

Payment from a real customer is the single strongest pre-build signal in entrepreneurship research.

Test to prove it: Three paying customers with real money deposited.

Priority 1: Consult an industry attorney or find an authorized compliance sponsor.£500 or network call · this week

Regulatory challenges cause abrupt venture shutdowns that software fixes cannot reverse.

Test to prove it: Written regulatory confirmation or partnership with a licensed institution.

Priority 2: Write down your explicit kill criterion and decision checkpoint date.30 minutes · today

Pre-set decision thresholds were the active ingredient that drove success in controlled tests.

Test to prove it: A signed calendar reminder with an accountability advisor.

Priority 2: Pick one structural barrier (counter-positioning or integration depth) and map its defense.2 hours · this week

An advantage without an economic barrier is quickly cloned by funded incumbents.

Test to prove it: Documenting why an incumbent would lose money copying your exact pricing model.

Research Honesty Flags

·We cannot predict whether this idea will succeed: judges' business-plan scores are uncorrelated with 3-year survival, employment, sales, and profits [R1].

·Scores are based on self-reported inputs; quoted numbers reflect documented optimistic bias [R8].

·Unknown is excluded from denominators: young ideas without revenue are never penalized for premature metrics.

·Fatal red flags cap the overall verdict regardless of high scores on other dimensions.

·Big headline market sizes do not predict growth or venture survival [R30].

·Customer lifetime value cannot be reliably calculated before you have historical customer cohorts [R23].

·Crowded markets do not predict unprofitability; positioning and cost barriers determine margins [R10].

·Patents without third-party citations correlate near zero with economic enterprise value [R51].

·Lock-in mechanisms only retain customers when underlying product quality is high [R49].

·Setting stopping points in advance is disciplined practitioner methodology to curb sunk-cost fallacy [R7].

·Three-quarters of funded ventures return zero cash to founders; personal downside must be budgeted [R21].

·Zero network requests are made by this tool: your answers stay 100% in your local browser storage.

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